I just read an interesting comment by Sun Zhifeng on my blog post about Baidu’s paid search results. The comment stated that Baidu did not gain any market share after Google had left, based on Alexa data. I checked it myself just now, and saw that Baidu’s growth is flat, there is hardly any change at all after Google’s departure. Of course Alexa’s data are not very accurate, especially in China, but for a trend analysis the data should be fine.
Actually the one gaining market share seems to be Google. The line for google.com.hk is now a little higher than the total of google.cn and google.com.hk a week ago (note: I don’t think you can add the share of google.cn and google.com.hk after the redirection started, because then the results for google.cn would be counted double).
I will check again in a few weeks to see what the eventual effect will be, but for now I am surprised but happy to see that Baidu did not gain any market share yet. Having a market with some competition is always better than one with a monopolist that sets its own rules.